Predictive performance of multi-model ensemble forecasts of COVID-19 across European nations

  1. Katharine Sherratt  Is a corresponding author
  2. Hugo Gruson
  3. Rok Grah
  4. Helen Johnson
  5. Rene Niehus
  6. Bastian Prasse
  7. Frank Sandmann
  8. Jannik Deuschel
  9. Daniel Wolffram
  10. Sam Abbott
  11. Alexander Ullrich
  12. Graham Gibson
  13. Evan L Ray
  14. Nicholas G Reich
  15. Daniel Sheldon
  16. Yijin Wang
  17. Nutcha Wattanachit
  18. Lijing Wang
  19. Jan Trnka
  20. Guillaume Obozinski
  21. Tao Sun
  22. Dorina Thanou
  23. Loic Pottier
  24. Ekaterina Krymova
  25. Jan H Meinke
  26. Maria Vittoria Barbarossa
  27. Neele Leithäuser
  28. Jan Mohring
  29. Johanna Schneider
  30. Jaroslaw Włazło
  31. Jan Fuhrmann
  32. Berit Lange
  33. Isti Rodiah
  34. Prasith Baccam
  35. Heidi Gurung
  36. Steven Stage
  37. Bradley Suchoski
  38. Jozef Budzinski
  39. Robert Walraven
  40. Inmaculada Villanueva
  41. Vit Tucek
  42. Martin Smid
  43. Milan Zajíček
  44. Cesar Pérez Álvarez
  45. Borja Reina
  46. Nikos I Bosse
  47. Sophie R Meakin
  48. Lauren Castro
  49. Geoffrey Fairchild
  50. Isaac Michaud
  51. Dave Osthus
  52. Pierfrancesco Alaimo Di Loro
  53. Antonello Maruotti
  54. Veronika Eclerová
  55. Andrea Kraus
  56. David Kraus
  57. Lenka Pribylova
  58. Bertsimas Dimitris
  59. Michael Lingzhi Li
  60. Soni Saksham
  61. Jonas Dehning
  62. Sebastian Mohr
  63. Viola Priesemann
  64. Grzegorz Redlarski
  65. Benjamin Bejar
  66. Giovanni Ardenghi
  67. Nicola Parolini
  68. Giovanni Ziarelli
  69. Wolfgang Bock
  70. Stefan Heyder
  71. Thomas Hotz
  72. David E Singh
  73. Miguel Guzman-Merino
  74. Jose L Aznarte
  75. David Moriña
  76. Sergio Alonso
  77. Enric Álvarez
  78. Daniel López
  79. Clara Prats
  80. Jan Pablo Burgard
  81. Arne Rodloff
  82. Tom Zimmermann
  83. Alexander Kuhlmann
  84. Janez Zibert
  85. Fulvia Pennoni
  86. Fabio Divino
  87. Marti Català
  88. Gianfranco Lovison
  89. Paolo Giudici
  90. Barbara Tarantino
  91. Francesco Bartolucci
  92. Giovanna Jona Lasinio
  93. Marco Mingione
  94. Alessio Farcomeni
  95. Ajitesh Srivastava
  96. Pablo Montero-Manso
  97. Aniruddha Adiga
  98. Benjamin Hurt
  99. Bryan Lewis
  100. Madhav Marathe
  101. Przemyslaw Porebski
  102. Srinivasan Venkatramanan
  103. Rafal P Bartczuk
  104. Filip Dreger
  105. Anna Gambin
  106. Krzysztof Gogolewski
  107. Magdalena Gruziel-Słomka
  108. Bartosz Krupa
  109. Antoni Moszyński
  110. Karol Niedzielewski
  111. Jedrzej Nowosielski
  112. Maciej Radwan
  113. Franciszek Rakowski
  114. Marcin Semeniuk
  115. Ewa Szczurek
  116. Jakub Zieliński
  117. Jan Kisielewski
  118. Barbara Pabjan
  119. Holger Kirsten
  120. Yuri Kheifetz
  121. Markus Scholz
  122. Przemyslaw Biecek
  123. Marcin Bodych
  124. Maciej Filinski
  125. Radoslaw Idzikowski
  126. Tyll Krueger
  127. Tomasz Ozanski
  128. Johannes Bracher
  129. Sebastian Funk
  1. London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, United Kingdom
  2. European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Sweden
  3. Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Germany
  4. Robert Koch Institute, Germany
  5. University of Massachusetts Amherst, United States
  6. Boston Children's Hospital, United States
  7. Charles University, Czech Republic
  8. École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne, Switzerland
  9. Éducation Nationale, France
  10. Eidgenössische Technische Hochschule Zürich, Switzerland
  11. Forschungszentrum Jülich, Germany
  12. Frankfurt Institute for Advanced Studies, Germany
  13. Fraunhofer Institute for Industrial Mathematics, Germany
  14. Heidelberg University, Germany
  15. Helmholtz Centre for Infection Research, Germany
  16. IEM Inc, United States
  17. Independent, Austria
  18. Independent, United States
  19. Universitat Pompeu Fabra, Spain
  20. Institute of Computer Science, Czech Republic
  21. Institute of Information Theory and Automation, Czech Republic
  22. Inverence, Spain
  23. Los Alamos National Laboratory, United States
  24. LUMSA University, Italy
  25. Masaryk University, Czech Republic
  26. Massachusetts Institute of Technology, United States
  27. Max-Planck-Institut fur Dynamik und Selbstorganisation, Germany
  28. Max Planck Institute for Dynamics and Self-Organization, Germany
  29. Medical University of Gdansk, Poland
  30. Paul Scherrer Institute, Switzerland
  31. Politecnico di Milano, Italy
  32. Technical University of Kaiserlautern, Germany
  33. Technische Universitat Ilmenau, Germany
  34. Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, Spain
  35. Universidad Nacional de Educacion a Distancia, Spain
  36. Universitat de Barcelona, Spain
  37. Universitat Politecnica de Catalunya, Spain
  38. Universitat Trier, Germany
  39. University of Cologne, Germany
  40. University of Halle, Germany
  41. University of Ljubljana, Slovenia
  42. University of Milano-Bicocca, Italy
  43. University of Molise, Italy
  44. University of Oxford, United Kingdom
  45. University of Palermo, Italy
  46. University of Pavia, Italy
  47. University of Perugia, Italy
  48. University of Rome La Sapienza, Italy
  49. University of Rome Tor Vergata, Italy
  50. University of Southern California, United States
  51. University of Sydney, Australia
  52. University of Virginia, United States
  53. University of Warsaw, Poland
  54. University of Wrocla, Poland
  55. Universtat Leipzig, Germany
  56. Wroclaw University of Technology, Poland
  57. Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, Poland
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  1. Katharine Sherratt
  2. Hugo Gruson
  3. Rok Grah
  4. Helen Johnson
  5. Rene Niehus
  6. Bastian Prasse
  7. Frank Sandmann
  8. Jannik Deuschel
  9. Daniel Wolffram
  10. Sam Abbott
  11. Alexander Ullrich
  12. Graham Gibson
  13. Evan L Ray
  14. Nicholas G Reich
  15. Daniel Sheldon
  16. Yijin Wang
  17. Nutcha Wattanachit
  18. Lijing Wang
  19. Jan Trnka
  20. Guillaume Obozinski
  21. Tao Sun
  22. Dorina Thanou
  23. Loic Pottier
  24. Ekaterina Krymova
  25. Jan H Meinke
  26. Maria Vittoria Barbarossa
  27. Neele Leithäuser
  28. Jan Mohring
  29. Johanna Schneider
  30. Jaroslaw Włazło
  31. Jan Fuhrmann
  32. Berit Lange
  33. Isti Rodiah
  34. Prasith Baccam
  35. Heidi Gurung
  36. Steven Stage
  37. Bradley Suchoski
  38. Jozef Budzinski
  39. Robert Walraven
  40. Inmaculada Villanueva
  41. Vit Tucek
  42. Martin Smid
  43. Milan Zajíček
  44. Cesar Pérez Álvarez
  45. Borja Reina
  46. Nikos I Bosse
  47. Sophie R Meakin
  48. Lauren Castro
  49. Geoffrey Fairchild
  50. Isaac Michaud
  51. Dave Osthus
  52. Pierfrancesco Alaimo Di Loro
  53. Antonello Maruotti
  54. Veronika Eclerová
  55. Andrea Kraus
  56. David Kraus
  57. Lenka Pribylova
  58. Bertsimas Dimitris
  59. Michael Lingzhi Li
  60. Soni Saksham
  61. Jonas Dehning
  62. Sebastian Mohr
  63. Viola Priesemann
  64. Grzegorz Redlarski
  65. Benjamin Bejar
  66. Giovanni Ardenghi
  67. Nicola Parolini
  68. Giovanni Ziarelli
  69. Wolfgang Bock
  70. Stefan Heyder
  71. Thomas Hotz
  72. David E Singh
  73. Miguel Guzman-Merino
  74. Jose L Aznarte
  75. David Moriña
  76. Sergio Alonso
  77. Enric Álvarez
  78. Daniel López
  79. Clara Prats
  80. Jan Pablo Burgard
  81. Arne Rodloff
  82. Tom Zimmermann
  83. Alexander Kuhlmann
  84. Janez Zibert
  85. Fulvia Pennoni
  86. Fabio Divino
  87. Marti Català
  88. Gianfranco Lovison
  89. Paolo Giudici
  90. Barbara Tarantino
  91. Francesco Bartolucci
  92. Giovanna Jona Lasinio
  93. Marco Mingione
  94. Alessio Farcomeni
  95. Ajitesh Srivastava
  96. Pablo Montero-Manso
  97. Aniruddha Adiga
  98. Benjamin Hurt
  99. Bryan Lewis
  100. Madhav Marathe
  101. Przemyslaw Porebski
  102. Srinivasan Venkatramanan
  103. Rafal P Bartczuk
  104. Filip Dreger
  105. Anna Gambin
  106. Krzysztof Gogolewski
  107. Magdalena Gruziel-Słomka
  108. Bartosz Krupa
  109. Antoni Moszyński
  110. Karol Niedzielewski
  111. Jedrzej Nowosielski
  112. Maciej Radwan
  113. Franciszek Rakowski
  114. Marcin Semeniuk
  115. Ewa Szczurek
  116. Jakub Zieliński
  117. Jan Kisielewski
  118. Barbara Pabjan
  119. Holger Kirsten
  120. Yuri Kheifetz
  121. Markus Scholz
  122. Przemyslaw Biecek
  123. Marcin Bodych
  124. Maciej Filinski
  125. Radoslaw Idzikowski
  126. Tyll Krueger
  127. Tomasz Ozanski
  128. Johannes Bracher
  129. Sebastian Funk
(2023)
Predictive performance of multi-model ensemble forecasts of COVID-19 across European nations
eLife 12:e81916.
https://doi.org/10.7554/eLife.81916