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    1. Computational and Systems Biology
    2. Structural Biology and Molecular Biophysics

    Bayesian inference of kinetic schemes for ion channels by Kalman filtering

    Jan L Münch, Fabian Paul ... Klaus Benndorf
    For analyzing time-dependent patch-clamp or patch-clamp fluorometry data of ion channels in terms of Markovian models, the superiority of Bayesian filtering with respect to traditional deterministic approaches is demonstrated enabling more reliable quantification of the parameters.
    1. Neuroscience

    Signatures of Bayesian inference emerge from energy-efficient synapses

    James Malkin, Cian O'Donnell ... Laurence Aitchison
    The parallels between Bayesian synapses and energy-efficient synapses are highlighted.
    1. Biochemistry and Chemical Biology
    2. Structural Biology and Molecular Biophysics

    Bayesian machine learning analysis of single-molecule fluorescence colocalization images

    Yerdos A Ordabayev, Larry J Friedman ... Douglas L Theobald
    A physics-based, statistically rigorous mathematical model enables automated, objective interpretation of images from single-molecule fluorescence colocalization microscopy experiments.
    1. Neuroscience

    Autistic traits, but not schizotypy, predict increased weighting of sensory information in Bayesian visual integration

    Povilas Karvelis, Aaron R Seitz ... Peggy Seriès
    Autistic traits are associated with weaker influence of prior expectations in visual perception, which is due to more precise sensory representations.
    1. Neuroscience

    Likelihood approximation networks (LANs) for fast inference of simulation models in cognitive neuroscience

    Alexander Fengler, Lakshmi N Govindarajan ... Michael J Frank
    A novel method and software provides researchers with the capability to rapidly, flexibly, and robustly perform Bayesian parameter estimation of theoretically meaningful models in cognitive neuroscience that were heretofore intractable.
    1. Computational and Systems Biology
    2. Chromosomes and Gene Expression

    Stochastic modelling, Bayesian inference, and new in vivo measurements elucidate the debated mtDNA bottleneck mechanism

    Iain G Johnston, Joerg P Burgstaller ... Nick S Jones
    New modelling, statistics, and experiments show that cellular populations of mitochondrial DNA (mtDNA) evolve during development according to solvable stochastic dynamics involving binomial partitioning and random turnover, facilitating a predictive and quantitative theory of the mtDNA bottleneck.
    1. Neuroscience

    Neural activity tracking identity and confidence in social information

    Nadescha Trudel, Patricia L Lockwood ... Marco K Wittmann
    People's confidence in information and their neural correlates in key regions of the social brain are more stable when tracking social advice compared to non-social information.
    1. Epidemiology and Global Health

    Efficacy profile of the CYD-TDV dengue vaccine revealed by Bayesian survival analysis of individual-level phase III data

    Daniel J Laydon, Ilaria Dorigatti ... Neil M Ferguson
    Bayesian survival analysis reveals comprehensive efficacy profile and mechanism of action for Sanofi-Pasteur’s CYD-TDV dengue vaccine, whereby vaccination acts as a silent, disease-free infection enhancing disease risk in seronegatives, but giving greater immunity in seropositives than two natural infections.
    1. Neuroscience

    Neural signatures of auditory hypersensitivity following acoustic trauma

    Matthew McGill, Ariel E Hight ... Daniel B Polley
    Chronic two-photon calcium imaging, optogenetics, and operant behavioral approaches were leveraged to show that hyperactivity, hyperresponsivity, and hypersynchronization in auditory cortex neural ensembles can account for auditory hypersensitivity following acoustic trauma.
    1. Structural Biology and Molecular Biophysics

    A Bayesian approach to single-particle electron cryo-tomography in RELION-4.0

    Jasenko Zivanov, Joaquín Otón ... Sjors HW Scheres
    New functionality in RELION-4.0 allows convenient structure determination from cryo electron tomography data to resolutions sufficient for de novo atomic modelling.