Figures and data

Examples of inelastic vs elastic control:
Top – Choosing one of three equally priced public transport routes provides inelastic control over commute time, whereas the control of biker over commute time is elastic to the effort they invest in pedaling. Middle – A diner has either inelastic or elastic control over their lunch depending on whether the restaurant offers a fixed-price lunch deal, or a standard menu where dishes vary in price. Bottom – the probability of winning in blackjack is inelastic to money, as it only depends on whether one hits or stands, whereas when playing roulette, one can increase the probability of winning by investing more coins to cover more possible outcomes. Importantly, most real-world scenarios lie on a spectrum between these illustrative extremes, such that controllability is partly elastic and partly inelastic.

Experimental design:
(A) Goal. On each trip to a planet, participants' goal was to reach a treasure located either at the house or the mountain (B) Transition rules. Participants could exercise control by boarding either the plane or the train to a destination of their choice, whereas missing the ride sent the participant walking to the nearest location (which happened to be the treasure location in only 20% of trials). (C) Trip structure. At the beginning of each trip, participants selected whether to purchase 1, 2, or 3 tickets to attempt to board their vehicle of choice, or walk for free to the nearest location. If the participant purchased at least one ticket, they were allowed to choose between the plane and the train. Then, for each additional ticket purchased, the participant was given an opportunity to increase their chances of boarding the vehicle. Specifically, the chosen vehicle appeared moving from left to right across the screen, and the participant attempted to board it by pressing the spacebar when it reached the center of the screen. At the end of the trip, participants were shown where they arrived at, allowing them to infer whether they successfully boarded the vehicle. (D) The space of possible planets. Planets varied in inelastic controllability – the probability that even one ticket would lead to successfully boarding the vehicle – and in elastic controllability – the degree to which two extra tickets would improve the probability of successfully boarding the vehicle (one extra ticket provided half the benefit). The color corresponds to the optimal number of tickets (0, 1 or 3) in each planet. The darker the color the higher the advantage in expected value gained by purchasing the optimal number of tickets relative to the second-best option. Each participant made 30 consecutive trips in one planet from the green area, one planet from the blue area, one planet from the red area, and one planet with identical characteristic across all participants (black circle).

Participants adapted to the elasticity of control:
Results from initial (N = 264) and replication (N = 250) studies. (A) Opt-in percentage across all planets. Participants opted-in more frequently on controllable planets (outlined in blue and green) than on uncontrollable planets (outlined in red) (B) Extra tickets purchased across all planets. Participants purchased more extra tickets in planets with high elastic controllability (outlined in blue). An average of 11 to 12 participants visited each planet in each of the studies. (C) Effect of elastic and inelastic controllability on opting in and the purchasing of extra-tickets. Bars show estimated fixed effects and 95% CIs from mixed logistic (opt-in) and probit (extra tickets) regressions. (D) Individual differences. Distribution of participants by opt-in rate (top) and average number of extra tickets purchased (bottom) across both studies, shown separately for planets with low controllability (red), high inelastic controllability (green), and high elastic controllability (blue).

Computational models:
Illustration of the learning rules of the controllability and elastic controllability models. The width of the colored region represents the estimated control, shown as a percentage of absolute control (gray area) along with the update rules based on each outcome. (A) Controllability model: This model treats the purchase of 1, 2, and 3 tickets as distinct actions. It accumulates evidence for the effectiveness (a) or lack of effectiveness (b) of each action based solely on whether or not the action led to successful boarding, illustrated by changes in the width of the shaded region corresponding to each ticket amount. (B) Elastic Controllability model: Represents beliefs about maximum control (black outline) and the degree to which at least one or specifically two extra tickets are necessary to obtain control. These are combined in calculating the expected control with 1, 2, and 3 tickets, demonstrated by the bars. The arrangement of the bars illustrates that, only in the elastic controllability model, controllability offered by extra tickets is added up on top of what is offered by a single ticket. The model updates its beliefs as follows: Top – Successfully boarding with one ticket provides evidence of high maximum controllability (acontrol + 1; expanded shaded region) and reduces the perceived need to purchase extra tickets (belastic≥1 + 1), increasing expectations of purchasing 1, relative to 2 or 3, tickets (light green expanded). A failure to board does not change estimated maximum controllability, but rather suggests that 1 ticket might not suffice to obtain control (aelastic≥1 + 1; light green diminished). Middle – Successfully boarding with 2 tickets provides evidence of high maximum controllability (acontrol + 1; expanded shaded region), and reduces the perceived need to purchase two extra tickets (belastic2 + 1), increasing expectations of purchasing 1 or 2, relative to 3, tickets (light & dark green expanded). Here too, a failure to board does not change estimated maximum controllability, but rather suggests that 2 tickets might not be sufficient (aelastic2 + 1; light & dark green diminished). Bottom – Successfully boarding with 3 tickets provides evidence of high maximum controllability (acontrol + 1; expanded shaded region), but offers no insight about whether fewer tickets would suffice to obtain it. Failure to board with 3 tickets provides evidence of low controllability (bcontrol + 1; diminished shaded region).

Model simulations:
(A) Opt-in. Proportion of opt-in by the controllability and elastic controllability models across all planets. Each region is outlined by the color corresponding to the optimal ticket strategy (Blue: 3 tickets, Green: 1 ticket, Red: opt-out). (B) Extra ticket purchases. Extra tickets purchased by the controllability and elastic controllability models across all planets. Here too, each region is outlined by the color corresponding to the optimal ticket strategy. (C) Comparison of opt-in rates and extra ticket purchases made by models and participants. Top - Proportion of opting-in as a function of overall controllability. Bottom - The number of extra tickets purchased for each level of inelastic controllability when elasticity did not warrant purchasing extra tickets (i.e. below 30%). (D) Resource investment following free 3-ticket trips. The distribution of resource investment choices made immediately following the free 3-ticket trips, as a function of the outcomes of those trips. Results are shown for the two studies (Initial, Replication), the controllability model, and the original and modified variant of the elastic controllability models. (E) Model comparison. Consistency of each model with participant behavior is shown as log Bayes factor compared to a null model wherein participants have distinct preferences among different number of tickets to purchase but no latent controllability estimates.


Individual biases in controllability and elasticity inference:
(A) Model parameters and task behavior. Model parameters fitted to each participant's task behavior were used as predictors of opt-in (left; multiple logistic regressions) and extra ticket purchases (right; multiple probit regressions) separately for low controllability (red), high elastic controllability (blue) and high inelastic controllability (green) planets. In a separate analysis, participants' composite psychopathology scores (see panel C) were similarly used to predict opt-in (left; logistic regression) and extra ticket purchases (right; probit regression). Bars represent regression coefficients and 95% CIs. (B) Model parameters and psychopathology. Loadings from a Canonical Correlation Analysis (CCA) between model parameters and self-report psychopathology measures. Self-report measures were scored such that higher values reflect higher levels of psychopathology. Loadings are shown for the Initial (dark blue), Replication (light blue), and combined (gray bars) datasets. The magnitude of the loading reflects the degree to which each measure contributes to the correlation between parameters and self-reports. (C) Model parameters and psychopathology composite scores. For each participant, a composite psychopathology score was calculated by multiplying their self-report scores with their CCA-derived loadings, and a composite model parameter score was calculated by multiplying their parameter fits and corresponding loadings. Each dot represents an individual participant. Black line: group-level posterior slope. Gray shading: standard error. (D) Significance testing. p-values for the observed CCA correlation (circle) were computed against empirical null distributions (shaded area and bar showing 95% high-density interval). The top null distribution was obtained by shuffling the model parameter fits (top) relative to the psychopathology scores (top), and the bottom null distribution was obtained by shuffling only the elasticity prior parameter (γelasticity) while keeping all other parameters and self-report scores matched (bottom).

Model validation.
10 full experimental datasets were simulated using each model. Rows indicate the model used to simulate data and columns indicate the model recovered from the data using the model comparison procedure.

Parameter Recovery.
We validated our model fitting procedure by simulating data using the best fitting parameters for each subject and then recovering those parameters. Our correlation between simulated and recovered parameters was at least .74 for all parameters of interest that capture the effects of the experimental conditions, and at least .63 for all other parameters.

Shared variance between elastic controllability* model parameters.
Heatmaps display squared Pearson correlations between parameter pairs for initial (left) and replication (right) studies. Color intensity indicates shared variance magnitude (0-1). Parameters: γcontrollability, γelasticity, β, a1−3, ρ, κ. Diagonal elements=1; off-diagonal elements reveal parameter interdependencies.