Reviewer #2 (Public review):

Summary:

The relationships among the phyla making up Spiralia - a major clade of animals including molluscs, annelids, flatworms, nemerteans and brachiopods - have been challenging from a phylogenomic perspective despite decades of molecular phylogenetic effort. Every topology uniting subsets of these phyla has been recovered with apparent support in at least one study, yet no consensus has emerged even from large-scale genomic datasets. Serra Silva and Telford set out to determine whether this instability reflects a genuine biological signal being obscured by analytical limitations, or whether it reflects a rapid, near-simultaneous origin of these phyla that has left behind in modern genomes far too little phylogenetic information to resolve. They focused deliberately on five phyla, reducing the problem to a tractable set of 15 unrooted and 105 rooted topologies, and applied a suite of complementary approaches across two independent datasets and multiple substitution models to test whether any topology is significantly preferred over alternatives.

Strengths:

(1) The conceptual framing of the problem is excellent, and the study makes a convincing case across several lines of evidence. By enumerating all possible topologies and demonstrating empirically that every one of the 15 unrooted arrangements has been recovered as the preferred solution in at least one published study, the authors make a strong argument about the state of the field. The use of two entirely independent datasets as a consistency check is great, and convergence between them, where it occur,s substantially strengthens confidence in the conclusions.

(2) It is my view that the simulation framework is a particular strength. Generating data on a fully unresolved star tree and scoring those data under both correctly-specified and misspecified substitution models provides convincing evidence that the strong preference for rooting Spiralia on the flatworm branch is, at least partly, an analytical artefact driven by the exceptionally long branch in combination with compositional heterogeneity across sites. This is an important methodological demonstration with implications beyond spiralian phylogenetics, as the same issue is likely to affect other deep, long-branched lineages in the animal tree of life.

(3) The randomised taxon-jackknifing approach is a very nice addition here. The demonstration that preferred topologies shift depending on which species happen to be sampled (even within the same phylum) is a convincing indicator of weak signal, and provides a practical caution for future studies that may report strong support for a particular spiralian arrangement based on a fixed taxon sample.

(4) The branch-length analyses, benchmarking internal interphylum branches against the already disputed and extremely short branch uniting deuterostomes (work also by this group), are well-conceived and solid.

(5) I think it is worth highlighting the notable intellectual honesty throughout the paper: the authors do not overstate their results, correctly acknowledging that while the unrooted topology grouping molluscs with brachiopods and flatworms with nemerteans emerges most consistently, this preference is not statistically significant under more adequate substitution models and may itself carry some artefactual component.

Weaknesses:

(1) The restriction to five phyla is the most significant limitation, as the authors acknowledge this and give a clear computational justification, but readers should be aware that the paper's convincing conclusions apply specifically to the five focal phyla and the evidence remains incomplete with respect to spiralian phylogeny as a whole.

(2) The treatment of substitution model adequacy, while commendably thorough for site-heterogeneous models, is necessarily bounded. The authors note that models accounting for non-stationarity, across-lineage compositional heterogeneity, or mixtures of tree histories might yield different results, and that even the most sophisticated currently available approaches have not produced consistent spiralian topologies across studies. This is not a criticism of what has been done here - the analytical scope is reasonable and well-implemented - but it means the paper cannot be read as a definitive demonstration that no model will ever resolve these relationships. The distinction between a true hard polytomy and a radiation that is effectively unresolvable given current data and methods could be drawn more sharply in the discussion.

(3) The reticulation-aware coalescent analyses are presented somewhat briefly relative to the likelihood-based topology scoring. The finding that flatworms are recovered within a paraphyletic jaw-bearing animal clade in both summary trees - interpreted as long-branch attraction - is striking, and its implications for gene-tree-based approaches to spiralian rooting deserve more discussion than they currently receive.

(4) The central conclusions - that interphylum branches in Spiralia are extraordinarily short, that topological preferences are strongly model-dependent and taxon-sampling-sensitive, and that an ancient rapid radiation is the most parsimonious explanation - are convincingly supported by the evidence presented. The identification of flatworm long-branch attraction as an important confounding factor in rooting analyses is itself an important and well-demonstrated result.

Conclusion:

This paper clearly makes an important contribution to the ongoing debate about spiralian relationships and, more broadly, to methodological discussions about how to handle anciently diversified clades where phylogenetic signal is genuinely limited. The exhaustive topology-scoring framework combined with taxon-jackknifing and simulation under unresolved trees is a valuable methodological template that could usefully be applied to other notoriously difficult nodes in the animal tree. I thoroughly enjoyed the discussion of the implications of these findings for interpreting Cambrian fossils and the evolutionary history of shells, segmentation, larval types and other characters - it is both thoughtful and thought-provoking and will be of broad interest well beyond the phylogenomics and zoology communities. From a very practical perspective, the data and scripts provided make the work useful to researchers wishing to apply similar approaches to other groups.

Figures and data

There are 15 unrooted trees linking the 5 major spiralian phyla and each has been supported in at least one publication (table S1).

Branches linking spiralian phyla are shorter that the short, disputed deuterostome branch.

Relative median RELL pseudo-bootstraps (A–D) and randomised taxon-jackknives (E–H) log-likelihood ranks for all rooted trees, see tables S2 and S4 for all ranks.

With simulated data inadequate models incorrectly support platyhelminth root.

Most fixed-taxon RELL bootstrap and randomised taxon-jackknife replicates, under both site-homogeneous (LG) and site-heterogeneous (EDM) models, recover unrooted T4 as the best-scoring topology.

With simulated data, misspecified models recover unrooted T4 within the set of highest-scoring topologies.