Estimates for subgroups without events were obtained via Firth’s penalized likelihood. Panels show 8 month survival plots for the ITT (C) and per-protocol (D) populations.
ITT population survival in each group over 8 months.
Per-protocol population survival in each group over 8 months.
CSF was collected from participants at baseline and 30 days after 81 mg, 1000 mg or placebo administration. (A) Partial least squares discriminant analysis 2-dimensional score plot of the distinct …
Variable | Placebo (n = 41) | 81 mg Aspirin (n = 39) | 1000 mg aspirin (n = 40) |
---|---|---|---|
Age (years) – median(IQR) | 43 (33–49) | 39 (34–48) | 40 (31–53) |
Male gender- no.(%) | 27 (65.9) | 28 (71.8) | 24 (60.0) |
Weight (kg) | 50 (44–60) | 50 (45–60) | 50 (47–58) |
Previous tuberculosis treatment- no.(%) | 3 (7.3) | 1 (2.6) | 1 (2.5) |
Illness duration (days) – median(IQR) | 10 (9–14) | 10 (8–15) | 10 (8–14) |
MRC Grade: – no.(%)* - I - II - III | 16 (39.0) 20 (48.8) 5 (12.2) | 15 (38.5) 19 (48.7) 5 (12.8) | 15 (37.5) 20 (50.0) 5 (12.5) |
Glasgow Coma Score (/15) – median(IQR) | 15 (14–15) | 15 (14–15) | 15 (14–15) |
Cranial nerve palsy- no.(%) | 12 (29.3) | 9 (23.1) | 12 (30.0) |
Hemiplegia- no.(%) | 3 (7.3) | 0 | 1 (2.5) |
Paraplegia- no.(%) | 1 (2.4) | 4 (10.3) | 1 (2.5) |
Chest radiograph: - no.(%) - Normal - Miliary tuberculosis - Other lung tuberculosis | 20 (48.8) 10 (25.0) 11 (26.8) | 25 (64.1) 3 (7.9) 10 (25.6) | 19 (47.5) 11 (28.2) 9 (22.5) |
Plasma sodium (mmol/L) – median(IQR) | 127 (124–131) | 130 (125–134) | 129 (125–132) |
CSF: – median(IQR) Total leucocyte count (/mm3) % neutrophils % lymphocytes Total protein (g/dL) Lactate Glucose CSF:plasma glucose | 311 (126–425) 22 (7–49) 78 (51–93) 1.4 (1.1–2.0) 5.0 (4.0–6.6) 2.1 (1.3–2.8) 0.3 (0.2–0.4) | 328 (120–605) 12 (6–29) 88 (71–94) 1.2 (0.9–1.9) 5.0 (3.5–6.9) 2.2 (1.7–2.9) 0.3 (0.2–0.5) | 180 (141–340) 14 (6–32) 84 (68–94) 1.6 (1.1–2.1) 4.9 (3.5–6.0) 2.4 (1.7–2.8) 0.4 (0.3–0.5) |
Diagnostic category: - no.(%)† - Definite - Probable - Possible - Confirmed other diagnosis | 34 (82.9) 4 (9.8) 2 (4.9) 1 (2.4) | 29 (74.4) 5 (12.8) 4 (10.3) 1 (2.6) | 29 (72.5) 8 (20.0) 3 (7.5) 0 |
Brain imaging performed: - no.(%) - Normal - Meningeal enhancement - Tuberculomas - Hydrocephalus - Infarcts | 40 15 (37.5%) 6 (15.0%) 7 (17.5%) 6 (15.0%) 17 (42.5%) | 35 13 (37.1%) 5 (14.3%) 4 (11.4%) 4 (11.4%) 8 (22.9%) | 39 17 (43.6%) 3 (7.7%) 4 (10.3%) 3 (7.7%) 15 (38.5%) |
DST available– no.‡ - No isoniazid or rifampicin resistance – no.(%)§ - Isoniazid resistant- no.(%) - Rifampicin resistant- no.(%) - MDR- no.(%) | 19 12 (63.2) 6 (31.6) 1 (5.2) 0 | 9 7 (77.8) 1 (11.1) 0 1 (11.1) | 14 12 (86.7) 2 (14.3) 0 0 |
Initial anti-tuberculosis drug treatment- no.(%)# - RHZES - RHZE - RHZL | 40 (97.6) 1 (2.4) 0 | 37 (94.9) 1 (2.6) 1 (2.6) | 40 (100.0) |
LTA4H genotype available – no - CC - CT - TT | 41 21 (51.2) 16 (39.0) 4 (9.8) | 38 14 (36.8) 18 (47.4) 6 (15.8) | 37 16 (43.2) 20 (54.1) 1 (2.7) |
IQR = inter quartile range
*MRC denotes modified British Medical Research Council criteria. Grade I indicates a Glasgow coma score of 15 with no neurologic signs, grade II a score of 11 to 14 (or 15 with focal neurologic signs), and grade III a score of 10 or less.
†Diagnostic categories were assigned according to the consensus case definition (table S1) (Marais et al., 2010). Confirmed other diagnosis was only made based on microbiological evidence.
‡DST = drug susceptibility test.
§MDR (multidrug-resistance) is defined as resistance to at least both isoniazid and rifampicin. In all categories, other resistance may be present.
#Rifampicin (R), Isoniazid (H), Pyrazinamide, Ethambutol (E), Streptomycin (S).
Placebo (n = 41) | Aspirin 81 mg (n = 39) | Aspirin 1000 mg (n = 40) | Absolute risk difference [%] (95% confidence interval) | Overall comparison P-value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Primary safety outcomes | |||||
Gastro-intestinal bleeding or MRI-proven intracranial bleeding event* | 5/36 (13.9%) | 8/35 (22.9%) | 8/40 (20.0%) | Aspirin 81 mg vs placebo: 9.0% (-9.3 to 26.9%) Aspirin 1000 mg vs placebo: 6.1% (-11.5 to 22.8%) | 0.59 |
Gastro-intestinal bleeding event | 5/38 (13.2%) | 7/35 (20.0 %) | 8/40 (20.0 %) | Aspirin 81 mg vs placebo: 6.8% (-10.5 to 24.4%) Aspirin 1000 mg vs placebo: 6.8% (-10.2 to 23.4%) | 0.71 |
MRI-proven intracranial bleeding event | 0/35 (0%) | 1/32 (3.1%) | 0/38 (0%) | Aspirin 81 mg vs placebo: 3.1% (-7.1 to 15.7%) Aspirin 1000 mg vs placebo: 0.0% (-9.9 to 9.2%) | 0.30 |
Primary efficacy outcomes | |||||
New MRI-proven brain infarction or death | 11/38 (28.9%) | 8/36 (22.2%) | 6/38 (15.8%) | Aspirin 81 mg vs placebo: −6.7% (-25.7 to 13.1%) Aspirin 1000 mg vs placebo: −13.2% (-31.0 to 5.7%) | 0.40 |
New MRI-proven brain infarction† | 8/35 (22.9%) | 2/30 (6.7%) | 5/37 (13.5%) | Aspirin 81 mg vs placebo: −16.2% (-33.1 to 2.0%) Aspirin 1000 mg vs placebo: −9.3% (-27.2 to 8.7%) | 0.18 |
Death | 4/41 (9.8%) | 6/39 (15.4%) | 1/40 (2.5%) | Aspirin 81 mg vs placebo: 5.6% (-9.5 to 21.1%) Aspirin 1000 mg vs placebo: −7.3% (-20.2 to 4.7%) | 0.14 |
*Gastro-intestinal bleeding event data are missing for seven participants (three placebo, 4 aspirin 81 mg) because they either died or were lost to follow-up before day 60. MRI-proven new intracranial bleeding event or infarct data are missing for 15 subjects (6 Placebo, 7 Aspirin 81 mg, 2 Aspirin 1000 mg) because they either died (four placebo, 6 aspirin 81 mg, 1 aspirin 1000 mg), were lost to follow-up before day 60 (1 placebo), or they were too unwell to have scans within 60 ± 10 days (two placebo, 1 aspirin 81 mg, 2 aspirin 1000 mg). A participant was excluded from the analysis of the combined primary safety endpoint if they had missing data for both gastro-intestinal bleeding event and MRI-proven intracranial bleeding event, or if information about one event type is missing and the other event type did not occur (i.e. participants for which it is unclear due to missing data whether the combined event occurred or not are excluded to avoid under-estimation of the true safety risk).
†18* 18 participants (6 Placebo, 9 Aspirin 81 mg, 3 Aspirin 1000 mg) did not have MRI information at either baseline (±7 days) or day 60 (±10 days). For death status, the patient lost to follow-up after 57 days was treated as being alive. Patients were excluded from the combined primary efficacy endpoint if they were alive but MRI information was missing. One patient (Placebo) had both a new MRI-proven brain infarction event and death.
Placebo (n = 36) | Aspirin81mg (n = 31) | Aspirin1000mg (n = 31) | Absolute risk difference [%] (95% confidence interval) | Overall comparison P-value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
New MRI-proven brain infarction or death* | 10/34 (29.4%) | 6/31 (19.4%) | 3/30 (10.0%) | Aspirin 81 mg vs placebo: −10.1% (-29.7 to 11.0%) Aspirin 1000 mg vs placebo: −19.4% (-37.4 to 0.6%) | 0.16 |
New MRI-proven brain infarction | 7/31 (22.6%) | 2/27 (7.4%) | 3/30 (10.0%) | Aspirin 81 mg vs placebo: −15.2% (-33.2 to 4.3%) Aspirin 1000 mg vs placebo: −12.6% (-31.0 to 6.6%) | 0.22 |
Death | 4/36 (11.1%) | 4/31 (12.9%) | 0/31 (0%) | Aspirin 81 mg vs placebo: 1.8% (-14.4 to 19.1%) Aspirin 1000 mg vs placebo: −11.1% (-25.3 to 1.8%) | 0.11 |
*10 participants (five placebo, 4 aspirin 81 mg, 1 aspirin 1000 mg) did not have MRI information at either baseline (±7 days) or day 60 (±10 days). One participant (placebo) had both a new MRI-proven brain infraction event and death.
Placebo (events/n (risk%)) | Aspirin 81 mg (events/n (risk%)) | Aspirin 1000 mg (events/n (risk%)) | P-value comparison | P-heterogeneity | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Diagnostic criteria - Definite - Probable/Possible | 11/32 (34.4%) 0/6 (0%) | 4/27 (14.8%) 3/8 (37.5%) | 3/28 (10.7%) 3/10 (30.0) | 0.06 0.30 | 0.01 |
MRC Grade - I - II - III | 4/16 (25.0%) 4/17 (23.5%) 3/5 (60.0%) | 1/15 (6.7%) 4/17 (23.5%) 3/4 (75.0%) | 1/14 (7.1%) 4/19 (21.1%) 1/5 (20.0%) | 0.33 1.00 0.42 | 0.44 |
Previous tuberculosis treatment - Yes - No | 1/2 (50.0%) 10/36 (27.8%) | 1/1 (100%) 7/35 (20.0%) | 0/1 (0%) 6/37 (16.2%) | 1.00 0.51 | 0.28 |
Drug susceptibility* - MDR-TB - Rifampicin mono-resistance - Isoniazid resistance (with or without streptomycin resistance) - No or other resistance | 0/0 (0%) 0/1 (0%) 3/6 (50.0%) 5/10 (50.0%) | 1/1 (100%) 0/0 (0%) 1/1 (100%) 1/7 (14%) | 0/0 (0%) 0/0 (0%) 1/2 (50.0%) 1/12 (8%) | 1.00 0.09 | 0.17 |
LTA4H genotype† - CC - CT - TT | 3/18 (16.7%) 7/16 (43.8%) 1/4 (25.0%) | 4/13 (30.8%) 3/16 (18.8%) 1/6 (16.7%) | 0/16 (0%) 5/19 (26.3%) 0/1 (0%) | 0.05 0.30 1 | 0.13 |
*4 participants not genotyped. P-value for the heterogeneity was obtained from likelihood ratio tests for an interaction term between treatment and the grouping variable in a logistic regression model.
†Outcomes unavailable in two participants in the placebo group with DST available (one lost to follow-up at day 57 and one did not have MRI information at day 60).
Placebo (N = 41) | Aspirin 81 mg (N = 39) | Aspirin 1000 mg (N = 40) | P-value | |
---|---|---|---|---|
ITT population | ||||
Rankin score categories by 60 days* | ||||
- Complete recovery | 6/37 (16.2%) | 11/39 (28.2%) | 9/40 (22.5%) | |
- Intermediate | 22/37 (59.5%) | 16/39 (41.0%) | 22/40 (55.0%) | 0.61 |
- Death or severely disabled | 9/37 (24.3%) | 12/39 (30.8%) | 9/40 (22.5%) | |
Rankin score categories by 8 months | ||||
- Complete recovery | 18/39 (46.1%) | 23/39 (59.0%) | 22/40 (55.0%) | |
- Intermediate | 10/39 (24.6%) | 7/39 (17.95%) | 11/40 (27.5%) | 0.29 |
- Death or severely disabled | 11/39 (28.2%) | 9/39 (23.1%) | 7/40 (17.5%) | |
Per-protocol population | ||||
Rankin score categories at 60 days | ||||
- Complete recovery | 6/33 (18.2%) | 9/31 (29.0%) | 7/31 (22.6%) | |
- Intermediate | 21/33 (63.6%) | 15/31 (48.4%) | 19/31 (61.3%) | 0.69 |
- Death or severely disabled | 6/33 (18.2%) | 7/31 (22.6%) | 5/31 (16.1%) | |
Rankin score categories by 8 months | ||||
- Complete recovery | 17/35 (48.6%) | 20/31 (64.5%) | 19/31 (61.3%) | |
- Intermediate | 9/35 (25.7%) | 5/31 (16.1%) | 9/31 (29.0%) | 0.13 |
- Death or severely disabled | 9/35 (25.7%) | 6/31 (19.4%) | 3/31 (9.7%) |
*Complete recovery = Rankin score 0; Intermediate = Rankin score 1 or 2; Death or severely disabled = Rankin score 3–6. Three participants in the placebo group missed their day 60 assessment and two were lost to follow-up at day 57 and 217. P-values refer to a linear-by-linear trend test for disability scores
Event | Placebo (n = 41) No. patients (%) (number of events) | Aspirin 81 mg (n = 39) No. patients (%) (number of events) | Aspirin 1000 mg (n = 40) No. patients (%) (number of events) | P-value comparison |
---|---|---|---|---|
All events | 11 (26.8%) (17) | 17 (43.6%) (33) | 9 (22.5%) (16) | 0.11 |
Allergic events - Rash - Stevens Johnsons syndrome* | 1 (2.4%) (1) 1 (2.4%) (1) 0 | 1 (2.6%) (2) 0 1 (2.6%) (2) | 0 | 0.77 |
Cardiac events - Hypotension | 0 | 3 (7.7%) (3) 3 (7.7%) (3) | 1 (2.5%) (1) | 0.08 |
Electrolyte events - Hyponatraemia - Hypokalaemia | 1 (2.4%) (1) 1 (2.4) (1) 0 | 4 (10.3%) (4) 4 (10.3%) (4) 0 | 3 (7.5%) (3) 2 (5.0%) (2) 1 (2.5%) (1) | 0.31 |
Gastrointestinal events - Vomiting blood - Melena | 2 (4.9%) (2) 2 (4.9%) (2) 0 | 1 (2.6%) (1) 1 (2.6%) (1) 0 | 1 (2.5%) (1) 0 1 (2.5%) (1) | 1.00 |
Hepatic events - Hepatitis | 1 (2.4%) (2) 1 (2.4%) (2) | 1 (2.6%) (1) 1 (2.6%) (1) | 0 | 0.77 |
Neurological events - Hemiparesis - Paraparesis - Cranial nerve palsy - Fall in GCS ≥ 2 points for ≥ 2 days | 4 (9.8%) (5) 0 1 (2.4%) (1) 0 2 (4.9%) (2) | 9 (23.1%) (13) 1 (2.6%) (1) 2 (5.1%) (2) 1 (2.6%) (1) 5 (12.8%) (5) | 3 (7.5%) (5) 0 1 (2.5%) (1) 0 2 (5.0%) (2) | 0.11 |
Respiratory events - Pneumonia - Respiratory failure | 4 (9.8%) (4) 0 4 (9.8%) (4) | 8 (20.5%) (9) 1 (2.6%) (1) 8 (20.5%) (1) | 4 (10.0%) (4) 0 4 (10.0%) (4) | 0.30 |
Other events† | 2 (4.9%) (2) | 0 | 2 (5.0%) (2) | 0.54 |
*Event related to rifampicin, not study drug
P-values refer to Fisher’s exact test for the number of participants with at least one event.
Table S1 Tuberculous meningitis diagnostic criteria
Table S2 Reasons for exclusion of screened patients from the trial
Table S3 Summary of adverse events related, or possibly related, to aspirin
Table S4 Full Rankin scores by treatment group by day 60 and 8 months in the ITT population
Table S5 Other MRI brain findings by treatment group on days 60 and month eight in the ITT population
Table S6 CSF individual lipid mediator Profiles at baseline and 30 days post aspirin and placebo administration†
Full trial protocol.