Path model displaying unstandardised estimates and p-values for the difference score two-wave latent change score (2W-LCS) model assessing the effect of nicotine against placebo (i.e. gum group) on change in global 8–12 Hz peak alpha frequency (i.e. ΔPAF) and change in mean phasic heat pain (PHP) ratings (i.e. ΔPain). Green arrows highlight the indirect effects (i.e. a and b), the red arrow highlights the direct effect (i.e. c’), the blue lines highlight pre-determined confounding variables, and dashed lines denote fixed effects. This model suggests that chewing nicotine gum, compared to placebo, increases the speed of PAF, and decreases PHP ratings, however the change in PAF does not influence the change in PHP ratings, therefore changes in PHP ratings after nicotine gum are not mediated by changes in PAF.