Data is available between the year of minimum ACS () and 30 years. ACS changes are: recruits’ ACS growth (orange), recruits’ ACS loss (gold), new recruits’ ACS (red), survivors’ ACS growth …
Covariates are : disturbance intensity () , i.e. the proportion of initial ACS loss; mean site’s ACS (), and relative forest maturity, i.e. pre-logging plot ACS as a % of (); annual …
Parameters posterior distribution.
Columns are the 2.5%, 10%, 50%, 90% and 97.5% quantiles of the posterior distribution of the model parameters (rows).
(a) Survivors’ cumulative ACS growth. (b) New recruits’ cumulative ACS. (c) Recruits’ cumulative ACS growth; (d) Survivors’ cumulative ACS loss; (e) Recruits’ cumulative ACS loss. The closer the …
(a) Survivors’ ACS growth. (b) New recruits’ ACS. (c) Recruits’ ACS growth. (d) Survivors’ ACS loss. (e) Recruits’ ACS loss. (f) Net ACS change. The net ACS change is the sum of all five ACS …
Extrapolation was based on global rasters: topsoil bulk density from the Harmonized global soil database (Nachtergaele et al., 2008), Worldclim precipitation data (Hijmans et al., 2005) and biomass …
(a) median predictions. (b) coefficient of variation (per pixel). Four areas were arbitrarily chosen to illustrate four different geographical behaviours: (1) the Guiana Shield and (2) northwestern …
The white line is the net annual ACS recovery, i.e. the sum of all annual ACS changes. Survivors’ (green) and recruits’ (orange) contribution are positive for ACS gains (survivors’ ACS growth, new …
(a) Fitted values from the all-in-one model. (b) Fitted values from the process-based model (right). Net ACS accumulation is the sum of cumulative ACS changes (gain and loss). Each combination of a …
Wood density of all undetermined trees is set to 0.4 (lower bound), 0.9 (higher bound), or the plot average wood density (dashed lines): the latter is the method used in the study. Cumulative ACS …
List of priors used to infer ACS changes in a Bayesian framework. Models are : () survivors’ ACS growth, () survivors’ ACS loss, () new recruits’ ACS, () recruits’ ACS growth, () recruits’ …
Model | Parameter | Prior | Justification |
---|---|---|---|
On average 100 survivors/ha storing 0.25 to 2.5 MgC each | |||
yr | |||
yr | |||
Range of observed values in TmFO control plots | |||
yr | |||
Range of observed values in Amazonia (Johnson et al., 2016) | |||
yr | |||
yr | |||
All models M† | Avoid multicollinearity problems | ||
All models M† | Avoid multicollinearity problems |
∗ is the time when the ACS change has reached 95% of its asymptotic value.
†M is one of the five models: either , , , , .