Abstract
Background: In infertility treatment, blastocyst morphological grading is commonly used in clinical practice for blastocyst evaluation and selection, but has shown limited predictive power on live birth outcomes of blastocysts. To improve live birth prediction, a number of artificial intelligence (AI) models have been established. Most existing AI models for blastocyst evaluation only used images for live birth prediction, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) achieved by these models has plateaued at ~0.65.
Methods: This study proposed a multi-modal blastocyst evaluation method using both blastocyst images and patient couple's clinical features (e.g., maternal age, hormone profiles, endometrium thickness, and semen quality) to predict live birth outcomes of human blastocysts. To utilize the multi-modal data, we developed a new AI model consisting of a convolutional neural network (CNN) to process blastocyst images and a multi-layer perceptron to process patient couple's clinical features. The dataset used in this study consists of 17,580 blastocysts with known live birth outcomes, blastocyst images, and patient couple's clinical features.
Results: This study achieved an AUC of 0.77 for live birth prediction, which significantly outperforms related works in the literature. Sixteen out of 103 clinical features were identified to be predictors of live birth outcomes and helped improve live birth prediction. Among these features, maternal age, the day of blastocyst transfer, antral follicle count, retrieved oocyte number, and endometrium thickness measured before transfer are the top five features contributing to live birth prediction. Heatmaps showed that the CNN in the AI model mainly focuses on image regions of inner cell mass and trophectoderm (TE) for live birth prediction, and the contribution of TE-related features was greater in the CNN trained with the inclusion of patient couple's clinical features compared with the CNN trained with blastocyst images alone.
Conclusions: The results suggest that the inclusion of patient couple's clinical features along with blastocyst images increases live birth prediction accuracy.
Funding: Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada and the Canada Research Chairs Program.
Data availability
All processed data and code needed to reproduce the findings of the study are made openly available in deidentified form. This can be found in https://github.com/robotVisionHang/LiveBirthPrediction_Data_Code, and attached to this manuscript. All codes and software used to analyze the data can also be accessed through the link. Due to data privacy regulations of patient data, raw data cannot be publicly shared. Interested researchers are welcome to contact the corresponding author with a concise project proposal indicating aims of using the data and how they will use the data. The project proposal will be firstly assessed by Prof. Yu Sun, Prof. Ge Lin, and then by the Ethics Committee of the Reproductive and Genetic Hospital of CITIC-Xiangya. There are no restrictions on who can access the data.
Article and author information
Author details
Funding
Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada
- Yu Sun
Canada Research Chairs
- Yu Sun
The funders had no role in study design, data collection and interpretation, or the decision to submit the work for publication.
Ethics
Human subjects: Informed consent was not necessary because this study used retrospective and fully de-identified data, no medical intervention was performed on the subject, and no biological samples from the patient were collected. This study was approved by the Ethics Committee of the Reproductive and Genetic Hospital of CITIC-Xiangya (approval number: LL-SC-2021-008).
Copyright
© 2023, Liu et al.
This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License permitting unrestricted use and redistribution provided that the original author and source are credited.
Metrics
-
- 1,801
- views
-
- 311
- downloads
-
- 17
- citations
Views, downloads and citations are aggregated across all versions of this paper published by eLife.
Download links
A two-part list of links to download the article, or parts of the article, in various formats.
Downloads (link to download the article as PDF)
Open citations (links to open the citations from this article in various online reference manager services)
Cite this article (links to download the citations from this article in formats compatible with various reference manager tools)
Development and evaluation of a live birth prediction model for evaluating human blastocysts: a retrospective study
eLife 12:e83662.
https://doi.org/10.7554/eLife.83662
Further reading
-
- Biochemistry and Chemical Biology
- Computational and Systems Biology
The spike protein is essential to the SARS-CoV-2 virus life cycle, facilitating virus entry and mediating viral-host membrane fusion. The spike contains a fatty acid (FA) binding site between every two neighbouring receptor-binding domains. This site is coupled to key regions in the protein, but the impact of glycans on these allosteric effects has not been investigated. Using dynamical nonequilibrium molecular dynamics (D-NEMD) simulations, we explore the allosteric effects of the FA site in the fully glycosylated spike of the SARS-CoV-2 ancestral variant. Our results identify the allosteric networks connecting the FA site to functionally important regions in the protein, including the receptor-binding motif, an antigenic supersite in the N-terminal domain, the fusion peptide region, and another allosteric site known to bind heme and biliverdin. The networks identified here highlight the complexity of the allosteric modulation in this protein and reveal a striking and unexpected link between different allosteric sites. Comparison of the FA site connections from D-NEMD in the glycosylated and non-glycosylated spike revealed that glycans do not qualitatively change the internal allosteric pathways but can facilitate the transmission of the structural changes within and between subunits.
-
- Computational and Systems Biology
In eukaryotes, protein kinase signaling is regulated by a diverse array of post-translational modifications, including phosphorylation of Ser/Thr residues and oxidation of cysteine (Cys) residues. While regulation by activation segment phosphorylation of Ser/Thr residues is well understood, relatively little is known about how oxidation of cysteine residues modulate catalysis. In this study, we investigate redox regulation of the AMPK-related brain-selective kinases (BRSK) 1 and 2, and detail how broad catalytic activity is directly regulated through reversible oxidation and reduction of evolutionarily conserved Cys residues within the catalytic domain. We show that redox-dependent control of BRSKs is a dynamic and multilayered process involving oxidative modifications of several Cys residues, including the formation of intramolecular disulfide bonds involving a pair of Cys residues near the catalytic HRD motif and a highly conserved T-loop Cys with a BRSK-specific Cys within an unusual CPE motif at the end of the activation segment. Consistently, mutation of the CPE-Cys increases catalytic activity in vitro and drives phosphorylation of the BRSK substrate Tau in cells. Molecular modeling and molecular dynamics simulations indicate that oxidation of the CPE-Cys destabilizes a conserved salt bridge network critical for allosteric activation. The occurrence of spatially proximal Cys amino acids in diverse Ser/Thr protein kinase families suggests that disulfide-mediated control of catalytic activity may be a prevalent mechanism for regulation within the broader AMPK family.
