Endemic Rift Valley fever virus circulation in The Gambia is driven by seasonal cattle movements and eco-region differences, highlighting livestock mobility as a key target for effective control strategies.
Hannu Lahtinen, Jaakko Kaprio ... Pekka Martikainen
Polygenic indices related to the best-established social, psychological, and behavioural mortality risk phenotypes had the strongest associations with mortality.
Marie-Cécile Dupas, Maria F Vincenti-Gonzalez ... Simon Dellicour
Post-2020, highly pathogenic avian influenza H5 circulation is characterised by spatially expanded ecological suitability, changes in key environmental predictors, and a wider range of avian species affected.
Reducing vaccine development time from 12 months to 6 reduces forecasting error by 25%, while reducing lags in genome sequence submission reduces uncertainty of current clade frequencies by 50%.
Pablo Ruiz Cuenca, Fábio N Souza ... Emanuele Giorgi
Step selection functions are a useful tool for analysing fine-scale human movements to understand environmental interactions in the context of infectious disease epidemiology.
Despite major perturbations from sequential interventions, the Plasmodium falciparum population remained very large and retained the var population genetic characteristics of a high-transmission system.
Models were more consistent than individual experts but performed comparably to ensembles of many experts and relative performance varied by month, justifying the use of combined model and expert forecast methodologies.
