Epidemiological Dynamics of Ebola Outbreaks
- University of Warwick, United Kingdom
Abstract
Ebola is a deadly virus that causes frequent disease outbreaks in the human population. Here, we analyse its rate of new introductions, case fatality ratio, and potential to spread from person to person. The analysis is performed for all completed outbreaks, and for a scenario where these are augmented by a more severe outbreak of several thousand cases. The results show a fast rate of new outbreaks, a high case fatality ratio, and an effective reproductive ratio of just less than 1.
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© 2014, House
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Epidemiological Dynamics of Ebola Outbreaks
eLife 3:e03908.
https://doi.org/10.7554/eLife.03908
