Results are shown for the best fit immune absent model on Vero cells, induced immunity model on RoNi/7.1 cells, and constitutive (for rVSV-VSVG and rVSV-EBOV) and induced (for rVSV-MARV) immunity …
(A), (B), and (C) show raw, original images of rVSV-EBOV propagation across Vero cell lines at, respectively, 17, 21, and 28 hr post-infection (timesteps 2, 3, and five from trial Ver6_B1). (D), (E),…
Open circles show raw data across all trials, while red, dashed line gives the statistical mean of each trials, established from GAM model incorporating random effects per trial. Results for MOI = 0.…
Open circles show raw data across all trials, while red, dashed line gives the statistical mean of each trials, established from GAM model incorporating random effects per trial. Results for MOI = 0.…
Figure shows fitted time series of infectious cell proportions for rVSV-G, rVSV-EBOV, and rVSV-MARV infections (columns) on Vero, RoNi/7.1, and PaKiT01 cell lines (rows) at MOI = 0.001. Raw data …
(A) IFN-α and (B) IFN-β gene expression profiles from qPCR for rVSV infections on RoNi/7.1 and PaKiT01 cell lines. Panels show δ-Ct (raw Ct of IFN gene assay subtracted from raw Ct of β-Actin …
Raw data from multiple trials are shown as open circles, statistical means as dashed black lines, with the output from the mean field model, using the fixed birth rate and estimated mortality rate, …
Panel (A) depicts dynamics under variably constitutive immunity, ranging from absent (left: ) to high (right: ). In all panel (A) plots, the rate of induced immune antiviral acquisition (ρ) was …
Panels show variation in the extent of immunity, from absent (left) to high (right). Branch point curves are represented as solid lines and Hopf curves as dashed lines. White space indicates endemic …
Fits and bifurcations are grouped by immune phenotype: (A) absent; (B) induced; (C) constitutive immunity, with cell lines differentiated by shape (Vero=circles; RoNi/7.1 = triangles; …
Fits and bifurcations are grouped by immune phenotype: (A) absent; (B) induced; (C) constitutive immunity, with cell lines differentiated by shape (Vero=circles; RoNi/7.1 = triangles; …
Results are shown for the best fit immune absent model on Vero cells, induced immunity model on RoNi/7.1 cells and constitutive (rVSV-G and rVSV-EBOV) and induced (rVSV-MARV) immune models on …
Figure shows fitted time series of susceptible (green shading) and antiviral (blue shading) cell proportions from the mean field model for rVSV-G, rVSV-EBOV, and rVSV-MARV infections (columns) on …
Values for ρ and were fixed at equivalent values to those optimized in mean field trials and β fixed at ten times the value estimated under mean field conditions. Figure shows mean output from 10 …
Parameter values are listed in Supplementary file 4.
Parameter values are listed in Supplementary file 4.
Parameter values are listed in Supplementary file 4.
Cell line | Virus | Immune assumption | AIC reduction from next-best model | Antiviral rate | [lci – uci] * | ρ [lci – uci] * | β [lci – uci] * | Mean field R0 | Spatial β |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Vero | rVSV-G | Absent | 2 | 0 | 0 [0–0] | 0 [0–0] | 2.44 [1.52–3.36] | 8.73 | 24.418 |
rVSV-EBOV | Absent | 2 | 0 | 0 [0–0] | 0 [0–0] | 1.5 [1.06–1.94] | 5.42 | 14.996 | |
rVSV-MARV | Absent | 2 | 0 | 0 [0–0] | 0 [0–0] | 0.975 [0.558–1.39] | 3.45 | 9.752 | |
RoNi/7.1 | rVSV-G | Induced | 2 | 7.03 × 10−5 | 0 [0–0] | 0.089 [0–0.432] | 2.47 [1.49–3.45] | 10.91 | 24.705 |
rVSV-EBOV | Induced | 2.01 | 2.87 × 10−5 | 0 [0–0] | 0.0363 [0–0.343] | 0.685 [0.451–0.919] | 3.04 | 6.849 | |
rVSV-MARV | Induced | 2 | 1.40 × 10−5 | 0 [0–0] | 0.0177 [0–0.257] | 1.23 [0.917–1.55] | 5.48 | 12.324 | |
PaKiT01 | rVSV-G | Constitutive | 29.9 | .00209 | 0.00602 [0–0.019] | 8.26 × 10−8 [0–4.75 × 10−7] | 3.45 [1.07–5.84] | 6.20 | 34.516 |
rVSV-EBOV | Constitutive | 27.9 | .00499 | 0.0478 [0–0.0958] | 4.46 × 10−8 [0–4.37 × 10−7] | 34.5 [28.7–40.2] | 18.82 | 344.821 | |
rVSV-MARV | Induced | 2 | .00687 | 0 [0–0] | 13.1 [0–37.9] | 3.25 [0–41.3] | 8.83 | 32.452 |
Improvement in AIC from next best model for same cell line-virus-MOI combination. All δ-AIC are reported in Supplementary file 4.
*lci = lower and uci = upper 95% confidence interval. No confidence interval is shown for spatial β which was fixed at 10 times the estimated mean for the mean field model fits when paired with equivalent values of and ρ.
All other parameters were fixed at: b = 0.025 (mean field), 0.15 (spatial); α = 1/6; c = 0; μ = 1/121 (Vero), 1/191 (RoNi/7.1), and 1/84 (PaKiT01).
Reagent type (species) or resource | Designation | Source or reference | Identifiers | Additional information |
---|---|---|---|---|
Cell line (Vero) | Kidney (normal, epithelial, adult) | ATCC | CCL-81 | |
Cell line (Rousettus aegyptiacus) | Kidney (normal, epithelial, adult) | (Biesold et al., 2011; Kühl et al., 2011) | RoNi/7.1 | |
Cell line (Pteropus alecto) | Kidney (normal, epithelial, adult) | (Crameri et al., 2009) | PaKiT01 | |
Virus strain | Replication competent, recombinant vesicular stomatitis Indiana virus expressing eGFP | (Miller et al., 2012; Wong et al., 2010) | rVSV-G | |
Virus strain | Replication competent, recombinant vesicular stomatitis Indiana virus expressing eGFP and EBOV GP in place of VSV G | (Miller et al., 2012; Wong et al., 2010) | rVSV-EBOV | |
Virus strain | Replication competent, recombinant vesicular stomatitis Indiana virus expressing eGFP and MARV GP in place of VSV G | (Miller et al., 2012; Wong et al., 2010) | rVSV-MARV | |
Reagent | Hoechst 33342 Fluorescent Stain | ThermoFisher | cat #: 62249 | |
Reagent | L-Glutamine Solution | ThermoFisher | cat #: 25030081 | |
Reagent | Gibco HEPES | ThermoFisher | cat #: 15630080 | |
Reagent | iTaq Universal SYBR Green Supermix | BioRad | cat #: 1725120 | |
Commercial assay or kit | Quick RNA Mini Prep Kit | Zymo | cat #: R1054 | |
Commercial assay or kit | Invitrogen Superscript III cDNA Synthesis Kit | ThermoFisher | cat #: 18080051 | |
Software | MatCont (version 2.2) | (Dhooge et al., 2008) | MatCont | |
R | R version 3.6.0 | (R Development Core Team, 2019) | R |
*Note that primers for R. aegyptiacus and P. alecto β-Actin, IFN-α, and IFN-β genes are listed in the Supplementary file 6.
(A) Raw proportion infectious from cell culture images.
Dataset gives raw proportion of infectious cells and time elapsed for all trials of all cell line/virus/MOI combinations, derived from image processing of binary images. (B) Raw proportion uninfectious from cell culture images. Dataset gives raw proportion of uninfectious cells and time elapsed for all trials of all cell line/virus/MOI combinations, derived from image processing of binary Hoechst-stained images. (C) Statistical mean of infectious time series for all trials of each cell line/virus/MOI experiment, from GAM fitted model incorporating random effects by trial. Data were smoothed to yield the proportion infectious per hourly timestep for each trial, and mean field mechanistic models were fit to the smoothed mean of all compiled trials for each cell line/virus/MOI combination. (D) Statistical mean of uninfectious time series for all eighteen cell line/virus/MOI experiments, from generalized linear model fit to Hoechst stain data reported on tab B. Note that these means were not used in epidemic model fitting but natural mortality rates for each cell line were derived from fitting an infection-absent model to the trajectory of susceptible decline for control trials for each cell line, as shown in Figure 1—figure supplement 7. All original raw image files, processed binary images, and image processing code are available freely for download at the following FigShare repository: DOI: 10.6084/m9.figshare.8312807.
Derivation of R0.
Special points from bifurcation analysis.
Optimized parameters from all deterministic model outputs and spatial approximations.
Justification for parameter increase from mean field to spatial model.
Primers for qPCR.
Detailed methods for image and image data processing.