Mendelian randomization suggests a bidirectional, causal relationship between physical inactivity and adiposity
Abstract
Physical inactivity and increased sedentary time are associated with excess weight gain in observational studies. However, some longitudinal studies indicate reverse causality where weight gain leads to physical inactivity and increased sedentary time. As observational studies suffer from reverse causality, it is challenging to assess the true causal directions. Here, we assess the bidirectional causality between physical inactivity, sedentary time and adiposity by bidirectional Mendelian randomization analysis. We assessed genetic liability using results from genome-wide association studies for accelerometer-based physical activity and sedentary time in 91,105 individuals and for body mass index (BMI) in 806,834 individuals. We implemented Mendelian randomization using CAUSE method that accounts for pleiotropy and sample overlap using full genome-wide data. We also applied inverse variance-weighted, MR-Egger, weighted median, and weighted mode methods using genome-wide significant variants only. We found evidence of bidirectional causality between sedentary time and BMI: longer sedentary time was causal for higher BMI [beta (95%CI) from CAUSE method: 0.11 (0.02, 0.2), P=0.02], and higher BMI was causal for longer sedentary time (0.13 (0.08, 0.17), P=6.3.x10-4). Our analyses suggest that higher moderate and vigorous physical activity are causal for lower BMI (moderate: -0.18 (-0.3,-0.05), P=0.006; vigorous: -0.16 (-0.24,-0.08), P=3.8x10-4), but indicate that the association between higher BMI and lower levels of physical activity is due to horizontal pleiotropy. The bidirectional, causal relationship between sedentary time and BMI suggests that decreasing sedentary time is beneficial for weight management, but also that targeting adiposity may lead to additional health benefits by reducing sedentary time.
Data availability
Data sharing: All analyses were performed using R statistical package freely available at https://cran.r-project.org/mirrors.html. The CAUSE R package and instructions are available at https://jean997.github.io/cause/. The Two-sample MR package is available at https://mrcieu.github.io/TwoSampleMR/. The RadialMR package is available at https://github.com/WSpiller/RadialMR. The code and curated data for the current analysis are available at https://github.com/MarioGuCBMR/MR_Physical_Activity_BMI.
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Summary statistics relating to "GWAS identifies 14 loci for device-measured physical activity and sleep duration"UK Biobank DOI: 10.5287/bodleian:yJp6zZmdj.
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Summary-level data from meta-analysis of fat distribution phenotypes in UK Biobank and GIANTGIANT website https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.1251813.
Article and author information
Author details
Funding
H2020 Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions (846502)
- Germán Darío Carrasquilla
Novo Nordisk Foundation Center for Basic Metabolic Research (NNF18CC0034900)
- Tuomas Kilpeläinen
Danish Diabetes Academy (NNF17SA0031406)
- Germán Darío Carrasquilla
Novo Nordisk Fonden (NNF17OC0026848)
- Tuomas Kilpeläinen
The funders had no role in study design, data collection and interpretation, or the decision to submit the work for publication.
Reviewing Editor
- Carlos Isales, Medical College of Georgia at Augusta University, United States
Version history
- Received: May 14, 2021
- Preprint posted: June 19, 2021 (view preprint)
- Accepted: February 28, 2022
- Accepted Manuscript published: March 7, 2022 (version 1)
- Version of Record published: April 1, 2022 (version 2)
Copyright
© 2022, Carrasquilla et al.
This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License permitting unrestricted use and redistribution provided that the original author and source are credited.
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Further reading
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- Epidemiology and Global Health
Background:
In most of the world, the mammography screening programmes were paused at the start of the pandemic, whilst mammography screening continued in Denmark. We examined the mammography screening participation during the COVID-19 pandemic in Denmark.
Methods:
The study population comprised all women aged 50–69 years old invited to participate in mammography screening from 2016 to 2021 in Denmark based on data from the Danish Quality Database for Mammography Screening in combination with population-based registries. Using a generalised linear model, we estimated prevalence ratios (PRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of mammography screening participation within 90, 180, and 365 d since invitation during the pandemic in comparison with the previous years adjusting for age, year and month of invitation.
Results:
The study comprised 1,828,791 invitations among 847,766 women. Before the pandemic, 80.2% of invitations resulted in participation in mammography screening within 90 d, 82.7% within 180 d, and 83.1% within 365 d. At the start of the pandemic, the participation in screening within 90 d was reduced to 69.9% for those invited in pre-lockdown and to 76.5% for those invited in first lockdown. Extending the length of follow-up time to 365 d only a minor overall reduction was observed (PR = 0.94; 95% CI: 0.93–0.95 in pre-lockdown and PR = 0.97; 95% CI: 0.96–0.97 in first lockdown). A lower participation was, however, seen among immigrants and among women with a low income.
Conclusions:
The short-term participation in mammography screening was reduced at the start of the pandemic, whilst only a minor reduction in the overall participation was observed with longer follow-up time, indicating that women postponed screening. Some groups of women, nonetheless, had a lower participation, indicating that the social inequity in screening participation was exacerbated during the pandemic.
Funding:
The study was funded by the Danish Cancer Society Scientific Committee (grant number R321-A17417) and the Danish regions.
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- Epidemiology and Global Health
- Genetics and Genomics
Accurate inference of who infected whom in an infectious disease outbreak is critical for the delivery of effective infection prevention and control. The increased resolution of pathogen whole-genome sequencing has significantly improved our ability to infer transmission events. Despite this, transmission inference often remains limited by the lack of genomic variation between the source case and infected contacts. Although within-host genetic diversity is common among a wide variety of pathogens, conventional whole-genome sequencing phylogenetic approaches exclusively use consensus sequences, which consider only the most prevalent nucleotide at each position and therefore fail to capture low frequency variation within samples. We hypothesized that including within-sample variation in a phylogenetic model would help to identify who infected whom in instances in which this was previously impossible. Using whole-genome sequences from SARS-CoV-2 multi-institutional outbreaks as an example, we show how within-sample diversity is partially maintained among repeated serial samples from the same host, it can transmitted between those cases with known epidemiological links, and how this improves phylogenetic inference and our understanding of who infected whom. Our technique is applicable to other infectious diseases and has immediate clinical utility in infection prevention and control.