Identification of drugs associated with reduced severity of COVID-19: A case-control study in a large population

  1. Ariel Israel  Is a corresponding author
  2. Alejandro A Schäffer
  3. Assi Cicurel
  4. Ilan Feldhamer
  5. Ameer Tal
  6. Kuoyuan Cheng
  7. Sanju Sinha
  8. Eyal Schiff
  9. Gil Lavie
  10. Eytan Ruppin  Is a corresponding author
  1. Clalit Health Services, Israel
  2. National Institutes of Health, United States
  3. Sheba Medical Center, Israel
  4. Tel-Aviv University, Israel

Abstract

Background: Until COVID-19 drugs specifically developed to treat COVID-19 become more widely accessible, it is crucial to identify whether existing medications have a protective effect against severe disease. Towards this objective, we conducted a large population study in Clalit Health Services (CHS), the largest healthcare provider in Israel, insuring over 4.7 million members.

Methods: Two case-control matched cohorts were assembled to assess which medications, acquired in the last month, decreased the risk of COVID‑19 hospitalization. Case patients were adults aged 18-95 hospitalized for COVID-19. In the first cohort, five control patients, from the general population, were matched to each case (n=6202); in the second cohort, two non-hospitalized SARS-CoV-2 positive control patients were matched to each case (n=6919). The outcome measures for a medication were: odds ratio (OR) for hospitalization, 95% confidence interval (CI), and the p‑value, using Fisher's exact test. False discovery rate was used to adjust for multiple testing.

Results: Medications associated with most significantly reduced odds for COVID-19 hospitalization include: ubiquinone (OR=0.185, 95% CI (0.058 to 0.458), p<0.001), ezetimibe (OR=0.488, 95% CI ((0.377 to 0.622)), p<0.001), rosuvastatin (OR=0.673, 95% CI (0.596 to 0.758), p<0.001), flecainide (OR=0.301, 95% CI (0.118 to 0.641), p<0.001), and vitamin D (OR=0.869, 95% CI (0.792 to 0.954), p<0.003). Remarkably, acquisition of artificial tears, eye care wipes, and several ophthalmological products were also associated with decreased risk for hospitalization.

Conclusions: Ubiquinone, ezetimibe and rosuvastatin, all related to the cholesterol synthesis pathway were associated with reduced hospitalization risk. These findings point to a promising protective effect which should be further investigated in controlled, prospective studies.

Funding: This research was supported in part by the Intramural Research Program of the National Institutes of Health, NCI.

Data availability

Data were obtained from patients' electronic health records, and IRB approval restrains its use to researchers inside Clalit Health Services. For further information regarding data availability, researchers may contact Dr. Lavie gillav@clalit.org.ilThis study is based on real-world patient drug purchases, and it cannot be made available due to patient privacy concerns. R code used to produce Figure 1 is available as Supplemental File 1.

Article and author information

Author details

  1. Ariel Israel

    Department of Research and Data, Clalit Health Services, Tel-Aviv, Israel
    For correspondence
    dr.ariel.israel@gmail.com
    Competing interests
    The authors declare that no competing interests exist.
    ORCID icon "This ORCID iD identifies the author of this article:" 0000-0003-4389-8896
  2. Alejandro A Schäffer

    Cancer Data Science Laboratory, , National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, United States
    Competing interests
    The authors declare that no competing interests exist.
  3. Assi Cicurel

    Department of Research and Data, Division of Planning and Strategy, Clalit Health Services, Tel-Aviv, Israel
    Competing interests
    The authors declare that no competing interests exist.
  4. Ilan Feldhamer

    Department of Research and Data, Clalit Health Services, Tel-Aviv, Israel
    Competing interests
    The authors declare that no competing interests exist.
  5. Ameer Tal

    Department of Research and Data, Clalit Health Services, Tel-Aviv, Israel
    Competing interests
    The authors declare that no competing interests exist.
  6. Kuoyuan Cheng

    Cancer Data Science Laboratory, , National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, United States
    Competing interests
    The authors declare that no competing interests exist.
  7. Sanju Sinha

    Cancer Data Science Laboratory, , National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, United States
    Competing interests
    The authors declare that no competing interests exist.
  8. Eyal Schiff

    Tel-Aviv University, Sheba Medical Center, Ramat Gan, Israel
    Competing interests
    The authors declare that no competing interests exist.
  9. Gil Lavie

    Department of Research and Data, Division of Planning and Strategy, Clalit Health Services, Tel-Aviv, Israel
    Competing interests
    The authors declare that no competing interests exist.
  10. Eytan Ruppin

    Blavatnik School of Computer Science, Tel-Aviv University, Tel-Aviv, Israel
    For correspondence
    eytan.ruppin@nih.gov
    Competing interests
    The authors declare that no competing interests exist.

Funding

National Cancer Institute (Intramural funding)

  • Alejandro A Schäffer
  • Kuoyuan Cheng
  • Sanju Sinha
  • Eytan Ruppin

The funders had no role in study design, data collection and interpretation, or the decision to submit the work for publication.

Ethics

Human subjects: This study has been approved by the CHS Institutional Review Board (IRB) with a waiver of informed consent, approval number: COM-0046-20.

Copyright

This is an open-access article, free of all copyright, and may be freely reproduced, distributed, transmitted, modified, built upon, or otherwise used by anyone for any lawful purpose. The work is made available under the Creative Commons CC0 public domain dedication.

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  1. Ariel Israel
  2. Alejandro A Schäffer
  3. Assi Cicurel
  4. Ilan Feldhamer
  5. Ameer Tal
  6. Kuoyuan Cheng
  7. Sanju Sinha
  8. Eyal Schiff
  9. Gil Lavie
  10. Eytan Ruppin
(2021)
Identification of drugs associated with reduced severity of COVID-19: A case-control study in a large population
eLife 10:e68165.
https://doi.org/10.7554/eLife.68165

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https://doi.org/10.7554/eLife.68165

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    In many settings, a large fraction of the population has both been vaccinated against and infected by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). Hence, quantifying the protection provided by post-infection vaccination has become critical for policy. We aimed to estimate the protective effect against SARS-CoV-2 reinfection of an additional vaccine dose after an initial Omicron variant infection.

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    We report a retrospective, population-based cohort study performed in Shanghai, China, using electronic databases with information on SARS-CoV-2 infections and vaccination history. We compared reinfection incidence by post-infection vaccination status in individuals initially infected during the April–May 2022 Omicron variant surge in Shanghai and who had been vaccinated before that period. Cox models were fit to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs).

    Results:

    275,896 individuals were diagnosed with real-time polymerase chain reaction-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection in April–May 2022; 199,312/275,896 were included in analyses on the effect of a post-infection vaccine dose. Post-infection vaccination provided protection against reinfection (aHR 0.82; 95% confidence interval 0.79–0.85). For patients who had received one, two, or three vaccine doses before their first infection, hazard ratios for the post-infection vaccination effect were 0.84 (0.76–0.93), 0.87 (0.83–0.90), and 0.96 (0.74–1.23), respectively. Post-infection vaccination within 30 and 90 days before the second Omicron wave provided different degrees of protection (in aHR): 0.51 (0.44–0.58) and 0.67 (0.61–0.74), respectively. Moreover, for all vaccine types, but to different extents, a post-infection dose given to individuals who were fully vaccinated before first infection was protective.

    Conclusions:

    In previously vaccinated and infected individuals, an additional vaccine dose provided protection against Omicron variant reinfection. These observations will inform future policy decisions on COVID-19 vaccination in China and other countries.

    Funding:

    This study was funded the Key Discipline Program of Pudong New Area Health System (PWZxk2022-25), the Development and Application of Intelligent Epidemic Surveillance and AI Analysis System (21002411400), the Shanghai Public Health System Construction (GWVI-11.2-XD08), the Shanghai Health Commission Key Disciplines (GWVI-11.1-02), the Shanghai Health Commission Clinical Research Program (20214Y0020), the Shanghai Natural Science Foundation (22ZR1414600), and the Shanghai Young Health Talents Program (2022YQ076).